As the well-known leagues in Europe have postponed their fixtures due to the coronavirus, I’m looking further afield. The leagues in South America and Africa have been added to my shortlist to monitor.
The risk is I’m not familiar with many of the teams, so as a result, I’ll likely be reducing my stakes.
Let’s see how it goes.
Brisbane Roar v Central Coast
This is a league I usually trade so for this match I used my usual staking plan.
With the score 1-0 at Half-time, I felt there were more goals in the game, so I layed the under goals market in the second half.
The goal I was expecting to arrive never occurred and the match finished 1-0.
It wasn’t the best start to a weekend.
Oh, and to top this off, I had a losing day at Cheltenham as well, but this is a separate account and doesn't impact my “sports trading” balance.
Kasimpasa v Goztepe
Turkish Super Lig
With decent first half in-play stats and the score 1-0, I decided to place an order to lay the under goals market during the second half. If the score stayed 1-0, then it would be my second loss of the day.
The second goal arrived, but I had to wait until the very end. The home side scored making it 2-0 in the 94th minute! Wow, that was close.
New staking plan kicks in today when I’m trading football leagues I’m not familiar with.
AS Mlila v Hissein Day
Algerian Ligue 1
With the score 0-0, I decided to lay the under goals market.
It turned out to be a winning trade when the home side scored in the 94th minute winning 1-0.
MC Alger v Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
Another trade in Algeria. With the score 2-0, I decided this time to back the under goals market with the home team winning. My plan was then to remove some liability as time goes by and then cash out before the game get’s too hot.
It didn’t go to plan as there was an early goal. Rather than stay in the trade and making it a bet and hope there are no more goals, I stayed disciplined and cashed out for a red loss.
Serbian Super Ligue
This was another loss backing the under goals market. Managed to remove some liability before the home team scored in the second half but it was still a red trade.
Mushuc Runa v Macara
Ecuadorian Serie A
A match I was given a heads up on in a Telegram group I’m part of, but I waited until the price met my criteria before opening an order. I layed the under goals market with the score 1-0, and I was looking for a goal.
The goal arrived in the 82nd minute, making it 2-0, so this was a winning trade.
Tomsk v Krasnodar II
I managed to place this trade before going to visit my parents for bacon butties and coffee.
The home side was 1-0 up at half-time. While looking at the in-play stats, I was confident there was going to be another goal in the second half, so I set an order to lay the under 1.5 goals market.
I placed the order at a lower price than being offered to reduce my liability. I could have layed the correct score, but I stuck with the goals market.
The order was matched before the second goal arrived in the 70th minute. A winning trade to start the day.
The match finished Tomsk 2-1 Krasnodar II
Ho Chi Minh City v Thanh Hoa
I’ll be honest; I don’t believe I’ve ever traded a match being played in Vietnam.
The score was 0-0 at half-time. The stats showed this game was not exactly producing end to end action, so I decided to back the under 1.5 goals market and remove my liability as time went by.
By the 60th minute, the score was still 0-0, and I had removed all of my liability, so this was now a risk-free trade.
There was a late goal, and the score ended 1-0, but this was enough for a winning trade.
CSKA Moscow v FC Ufa
Russian Premier League
This was a match I decided to get involved in after listening to Ian (over at FTSIncome) daily podcast. It’s a great podcast by the way, so if you’re reading this, go check it out.
I backed the over 2.5 goals with a couple of orders midway through the first half.
The score was 0-0 at half-time, but I stayed in to see if there would be an early goal in the second half.
Time progressed, and the price was running away from me, so I cashed out for a loss around the 60th minute with the score still 0-0. Never mind; move on.
The match finished 0-0, so I was pleased to exit when I did.
AA Portuguesa v Sao Caetano
Brazilian Paulista Serie A2
Another first for me. I’ve never traded matches in this league before. The score was 1-0 to the home side so again while looking at the stats, they met my criteria, and I anticipated another goal coming. Instead of laying the correct score market, I once again layed the under 1.5 goals market.
My order was matched and the second goal arrived in the 66th minute, and therefore this turned out to be a winning trade.
Fakel v Luch-Energiya
With the score 0-0 at half time and the under 0.5 goals market offers pretty low odds at the start of the second half, I decided to place an order.
I was a bit concerned I might get “fakel” out of this trade, but it worked out well when the home side took the lead in the 65th minute.
Mirassol v Santo Andre
Brazilian Paulista Serie A1
Another match I was notified about in a Telegram group. The score was 1-0 to the home side, so I looked at the stats. I was happy with what I saw, so I decided to open an order to lay the under 1.5 goals market. Some have asked me why I don’t just lay the correct score instead. To be honest for me, I don’t see any difference except for the liquidity. At the end of the day, either market needs a goal to win.
This trade never worked out for me as the game finished 1-0 and so it was a losing trade.
Overall a productive day of trading, although I’m not sure it’s covered my losses for the weekend. I’ll find out in a moment and will post it below in the summary section.
I started the weekend £1008.89
The balance is now £1007.33
It wasn’t the best weekend, with a small negative return but the damage to my bank was minimal. With the lack of football being played throughout the world this weekend, I’ll take this.
With the Coronavirus causing a lot of games to be cancelled or closed behind closed doors I wasn’t sure how much trading I would do, but here’s how the weekends trading went.
FC Khimki v Tomsk
The home side were clear odds on favourites, so when the score was “only” 1-0 at Half time, I layed the under goals market expecting more goals.
I had to wait longer than I thought, but the goal came in the 70th minute when Khimki extended their lead to 2-0. They scored another goal minutes later, making it 3-0.
Rotor Volgograd v Neftekhimik
This was a match and scoreline I was alerted to in a Telegram trading group so I can’t take credit for selecting this match. I layed the under goals market, with a liability stake, when the home team were winning 1-0.
The second goal of the match came in the 72nd minute when the away side made it 1-1.
The match finished 1-1 with two red cards near the end of the game.
Leicester v Aston Villa
With Leicester winning 1-0 heading into the second half I believed there were more goals in the game. I placed a couple of orders backing the over goals market.
Leicester scored a penalty before my second order was matched, so I removed the liability to try and make a higher return.
This worked out when Leicester went on to score a third and then a fourth, winning the match 4-0.
Overall it was a decent day of trading.
Cheltenham started today, so I decided to put a few “punt bets” on for a bit of fun. It’s not part of my trading bank though.
Erzurum BB v Fatih Karagumruk
1. Lig (Turkey)
I was notified of this 1-0 scoreline in Turkey, so I decided to Lay the under goals market in the second half.
The second goal arrived in the 77th minute, which was enough for me to win this trade.
The game finished 1-3.
Bidvest Wits v Black Leopards
South African Premier League
This was a silly trade looking back on this. The score was 1-0 to the home side at half-time. I looked at the first-half stats, and it looked like there would be more goals in the second half.
I placed an order to lay the under goals market midway through the second half when the price was lower, and reduce my liability. When the order was matched, I checked the second half stats. There wasn’t a shot on target. In hindsight with stats like this, I should have checked before and likely would have held off placing the trade.
Oh well, I only risk what I expect to lose, so I just moved on.
Dundee v Ayr
This was another lay the under goals market trade in the second half. I was staring at a loss here, but then Dundee scored in the 93rd minute.
A decent day of trading. I also had a productive day at Cheltenham. I made about a +20 point profit on the horses, but it’s “punting”, not trading, so I keep a separate "fun" pot for my "punts" and not use my sports trading bank.
Istanbulspor v Altinordu
With the home team trailing 0-1 in the final stages of the match the stats seemed to show the game was hot and there could be another goal.
With the price moving below 2.0, I decided to lay the under goals market.
Well, that came in nicely. A 92nd-minute winner with the match finishing 0-2
Mgladbach v Koln
Is it Koln or should I spell it Cologne?
With the scoreline 1-0 at the start of the second half, I believed there would be another goal. M’gladbach were on top, and it was likely they would score again.
I placed an order to lay the under goals market, which was matched 15 minutes or so later in the second half.
M’gladbach, as I expected, scored their second in the 70th minute.
Another winning trade. The match finished 2-1.
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid
Liverpool was winning 1-0, and the score was 1-1 on aggregate. Although Atletico might want to take their chances in extra time, I felt Liverpool would go on and win. As it’s a cup game and potential for extra-time, I reduced my stake but still decided to lay the under goals market.
It wasn’t to be. Liverpool was throwing everything at Atletico Madrid, but they couldn’t score.
Atletico Madrid put the ball in the back of the net in the 93rd minute, but there were three players offside, so it didn’t count. Therefore the match went into Extra time.
Basaksehir v FC Copenhagen
With the score still 0-0 in the second half, I expected a goal before full time. I layed the under goals market around the 60th-minute mark.
I was pleased to see a goal scored in the 88th minute.
Just the one trade today but overall a decent week of trading.
I started the week with a balance of £963.14
The balance is now £1008.89
At last! I’ve made it to the £1,000 milestone!! I started this journey back on the 1st of August last year with a starting balance of £260. It might have taken longer to reach this milestone than I expected, but I’m pleased with the progress.
I’ve had a few bumps along the way, some time out for holidays and other commitments which might have slowed things down, but I’ve managed my risk, kept my bank intact and stuck with it, and now I see four figures in my Betfair account.
With the Coronavirus and sporting events being postponed or cancelled I’m not sure if I'll be trading the football in the coming weeks and months. All US sports are postponed, several European football matches and leagues have been cancelled or postponed, and the tennis is postponed for six weeks. Even the start of the F1 season has been delayed. All we can do is wait until things return to normality.
Here’s how the weekends trading went.
Excelsior v Maastricht
I enjoy trading Dutch football. There are usually goals involved, so when I saw the score was still 0-0 in this match, I decided to place a couple of orders in the over goals market.
Just before my second order was matched, Excelsior took the lead. As I only had the one order in the market, I decided to remove the liability, make it a risk-free trade and wait to see if there was going to be a second goal.
The second goal arrived in the 75th minute, so this became a winning trade.
Excelsior won the match 3-0.
I didn’t have much time to trade today as I had other commitments, but I managed to get involved on three trades.
Eibar v Mallorca
Mallorca was leading in the second half 0-1, so I decided to back the over goals market expecting Eibar to get back into the game.
I’m glad I backed the goals market as the second goal was scored by the away side Mallorca making it 0-2. All I needed was a goal, so this was a winning trade.
Eiber pulled a goal back but lost 1-2.
Wolves v Brighton
Wigan v Luton
Both games ended 0-0 so therefore two losing “over goals market” trades. Not a lot to say other than “it happens”.
Not a great Saturday as I only had time to place three trades and two of those happened to be losers. Typical.
Bayern Munich v Augsburg
Just the one trade today as I was busy with the family, but I managed to enter a trade on this match with the score still 0-0. I backed the over goals market in the second half.
Only one of my orders was matched before Bayern Munich took the lead. Therefore I removed my liability and wait to see if there was another goal.
Bayern Munich scored again, so it was a winning trade. I didn't get high odds for this match, so it wasn’t a great return, but it was a win.
I started the weekend with £981.17
The balance now sits at £963.14.
A losing weekend as I still work towards the £1,000 milestone.
February wasn’t a great month for me. Don’t get me wrong, it was OK as I made a profit, but it wasn’t the gains I was looking to achieve. Each month I attempt to earn 10-15% a month so let's see how March goes.
With all the news about Coronavirus, I wonder if it'll ever impact the football matches being played in the UK as it has done in some other countries?
It's the Cheltenham Festival next week. I saw there's a market on Betfair on whether it will go ahead. Will it?
Tottenham v Wolves
Tottenham is without their two main attackers in Harry Kane and Son, so when I saw a strong Wolves team priced so high in the “Draw No Bet” market I saw this as value and placed more than my usual stake amount.
I managed to remove most of the liability before kick-off when it was announced Hugo Lloris was out with an injury. The money on Wolves steamed in, so I removed the risk from my trade.
The final score finished Tottenham 2-3 Wolves. Tottenham gave up a 2-1 lead to a strong Wolves side, so this was a winning trade to start a new month. It was a decent return, as well.
Benfica v Moreirense
With the score remaining 0-0 during the second half, I placed two orders in the over goals market. I was confident this match wouldn’t end goalless.
Both my orders were matched before Moreirense took a surprising 0-1 lead and I decided to cash out for a winning trade.
Betfair seemed to have some issues with the markets staying suspended for about 20 minutes. I was glad I managed to cash out when I did as I heard on social media a few sports traders got caught out with this issue.
Benfica scored in the final minutes to make it 1-1.
Cracovia v Wisla
I decided to back over 1.5 goals in the second half with the score still 0-0.
When Wisla took the lead in the 55th minute, I removed the liability, creating a risk-free trade. The second goal arrived, making it 0-2, and as a result, this was now a winning trade.
Dundee v Alloa
I was surprised to see the score was still 0-0 in the second half, so I entered a couple of orders in the over goals market.
Time went by, and there was still no goal. In the end, sticking to my trading plan rules, I exited the trade before the final whistle for a loss. The match ended 0-0, so I was happy I exited the trade when I did.
Today saw one win and one losing trade.
Leverkusen v Union Berlin
DFB Pokel (German Cup)
I wasn't in front of my laptop to write down my thoughts for this trade, but I recorded a winning trade in the over 1.5 goals market.
Rangers v Hamilton
This was a scratch trade. I removed my liability in this over 1.5 goals market trade when Hamilton took a surprising lead. The match finished 0-1. I didn't win, but more importantly, no loss.
I started the week, and the start of a month, with £911.10
The balance is now £981.17. Ooh, so close to £1,000, which will be an excellent achievement since starting this journey in August with a £260 trading balance.
This week turned out to be a great start to March. The Spurs v Wolves trade on Sunday contributed a lot to the amount earned, but I'm pleased I'm back to winning way with only one loss in six trades. An encouraging start.
Here’s how my trading went as February comes to a close.
Sydney FC vs Western Sydney
With the score 0-0 midway through the second half, I opposed the score.
It was a winning trade when the away side Western Sydney took a 0-1 lead and won the game. A profitable trade to kick start a final couple of days of February.
Other games I traded
Aarhus v Hobro
Lay under goals market was a losing trade.
Portimonense v Setubal
Lay the under goals market was another loss.
Overall a slightly red trading day.
I wasn’t in front of my laptop to type up my thoughts as I trade, but for my records, here were the results.
All trades were placed in the over/under market.
Empoli v Pordenone was a loss
WBA v Wigan was a win
Exeter v Crawley was a win
PSG v Dijon was a loss
Sparta Prague v Zlin was a win
Zenit v Lokomotiv was a loss
Watford v Liverpool was a win
Started with £910.13
The balance is now £911.10
Not an excellent finish. Pretty much a break-even weekend.
I’ve worked out my returns for the month which I've posted in the monthly report page. I didn't achieve as much as I was hoping for, but at the same time, I missed the first week of February, plus I have to accept the variance that comes with trading sport.
Here’s how my mid-week of trading the football went for me.
In parallel to my football trading, I'm still learning and getting used to trading the tennis. I’m not in a position to introduce it to my trading bank, though.
Gil Vicente v Benfica
With Benfica 0-1 in the lead, I expected them to extend their lead or that the home side would get back into it. I layed the under goals market.
It wasn’t to be, and the match finished 0-1. Therefore a losing trade.
Sunderland v Fleetwood Town
Sunderland was the pre-match favourites playing at home. When I saw that Fleetwood was leading 0-1, I decided to lay the under goals market in the second half.
The price moved towards my stop-loss, and I had to exit for a loss so it was a losing trade.
Fulham v Swansea
With the score 0-0, I layed the under goals market midway through the second half expecting at least one goal.
My predetermined stop loss was hit, so I exited the trade for a loss.
Sheff Wed v Charlton
Like in the Fulham v Charlton match, I layed the under goals market in the second half. The goal never arrived before the price hit my stop loss.
I couldn't believe it when I saw this after I exited my trades.
Unbelievable. After tonight, I have to look at entering later in the match and stay in until the end. I'm on a poor run of form this week.
[Craig is sulking!]
Celtic v FC Copenhagen
With Celtic losing 0-1 at home I decided to lay Copenhagen in the latter part of the match.
I was pleased to see Celtic score the equalizer in the 82nd minute so I could cash out for profit. Yes! A winning trade bringing my losing streak to an end.
I’m glad I cashed out when I did as FC Copenhagen scored two quick goals to make it 1-3.
Sevilla v CFR Cluj
This match was 0-0 deep into the second half so, I opposed the current score.
Cluj scored in the 88th minute. Another win!!
Wait….hold on…..No! It’s been disallowed!
There was then a late red card and time ran out for me, and the match finished 0-0. There I thought I had won the trade with a late winner. Unfortunately for me, it wasn’t to be.
Overall it's been a disappointing midweek of trading. I need to (and I will) get over it.
I started the week with £945.47
P&L for the week -£35.34
The balance is now £910.13
It was not a great week of trading.
We’re now heading into the last weekend of February. I haven’t looked, but I don’t believe I'm on course to meet my target of 10-15% ROI this month.
I had a week off at the start of February, so who knows, maybe that would have been a profitable week and help me earn my target amount this month.
Let’s see what the weekend brings.
Not many trades placed mid-week so I've combined a full weeks worth of trades in this post.
JS Kabylie v Paradou
Ligue 1 (Algeria)
Kabylie was playing well at home and are positioned towards the top of the table.
At half-time, the score was still 0-0. Due to the lack of knowledge, I have in this league; I went with a minimal stake to lay the under goals market in the second half.
Paradou scored in the 69th minute, but it was ruled out.
The price then went on to hit my pre-determined stop-loss, so I exited the trade for a loss. The match went on to finish 0-0.
Belouizdad v Hussein Dey
Ligue 1 (Algeria)
Belouizdad was sitting at the top of the table, hosting Hussein Dey who is in a relegation battle. At half time the score was 0-0.
I decided to open a lay position in the under goals market but noting down a price to exit if the price moves against me.
This worked out. The home side scored a goal in the 73rd minute so this was a win that made up for the earlier loss in Algeria.
A break-even day. Won 1, Lost 1.
No trades placed since Monday. I was prepared to trade, but either the schedule of matches never met my criteria or I couldn't find an angle or value in-play, to open a position.
Brescia v Napoli
I entered two trades from the start. First I backed over 1.5 FHG and then placed an order later in the first half backing over 0.5 FHG.
Brescia scored in the 27th minute. The Over 0.5 FHG order had only just been matched and was an instant win, and then I removed the liability in the over 1.5 FHG trade.
The half ended 1-0 so one trade was a winner. The over 1.5 FHG was a scratch trade.
Guingamp v Sochaux
Guingamp, favourites at home, was losing 0-1 at Half time so I layed the under goals market.
The equalising goal arrived in the 62nd minute and was a winning trade.
Clermont v Paris FC
The score was 0-0 at HT. Clermont were clear favourites, and I believed they would score in the second half. Rather than back them, I placed an order to lay the under goals market.
Surprisingly Paris FC went ahead 0-1 in the 78th minute. This was precisely the reason why I decided to trade the goals market and not the home favourite. This worked out and was a winning trade.
After a quiet midweek of trading, Friday turned out to be a satisfying day.
No trading during the afternoon as I had family commitments, but I was back at SportsTraydor HQ ready to trade some matches later in the day.
Leicester v Man City
With the score still 0-0 midway through the second half, I placed two orders in the over goals market. The worst-case scenario is if the game ends 0-0 I lose my 1 point stake.
Jesus gave Man City the lead in the 80th minute, and the match ended 0-1, so this was ended being a scratch trade.
Strasbourg v Amiens
Strasbourg, a definite favourite at home were being held 0-0 in the second half. I expected them to score and win the game so I layed the under goals market.
Well, it wasn’t to be. The price hit my pre-determined stop-loss, and I exited the trade for a loss. The match finished 0-0.
Groningen v VVV Venlo
There’s usually plenty of goals in Dutch football, so when I saw this game was 0-0 during the second half, I opened up an order to lay the under goals market.
I entered later in the match, with lower odds, so I could keep this trade open through to the final whistle. Thankfully for me, the goal arrived in the 87th minute and therefore was a winning trade.
Levante v Real Madrid
Wow, what can I say? I won this trade, laying the under goals market late in the second half.
I was confident Real Madrid would score the winner, but to my surprise, Levante scored the winner. I wasn’t expecting that, but it was a goal I needed, and therefore I finished Saturday with a winning trade.
Just the one trade today.
Heracles v Ajax
With the score still 0-0 late in the second half I was confident there would be a goal. My lay order on the under goals market was matched later than usual as the market was expecting a goal and the price reflected this.
One minute after my lay order was matched, Heracles took a surprising lead. This was enough for me to win the trade. Heracles went on to win the game.
I started the week with £906.56
P&L for this week +£38.91
The balance is now £945.47.
Although I didn't place many trades this past week, the results were pleasing, and I returned a profit.
A somewhat up and down weekend, as shown below. Or maybe it should read “down then up” weekend.
Adelaide United v Central Coast
I had this match shortlisted for an over 2.5 goals selection, but I never triggered the trade. When I saw it was still 0-0 in the 70th minute, I decided to open a position.
There was value in the over 0.5 goals market, so I placed an order that was matched shortly afterwards.
Adelaide scored in the 82nd minute, making it 1-0. This was enough for me to win. They then scored again in the 84th minute, making it 2-0, and that’s how the match finished.
St.Pauli v Dresden
It was 0-0 in the second half, so I decided to lay the draw. In hindsight, it was a silly trade as I was working on gut instinct and not the stats. I know I shouldn't, and as a result, it was a losing trade with the match ending 0-0.
Almere v Cambuur
I expected the game to start slow, so I backed the under goals market from the start and then removed my liability throughout the first half before exiting with a profit.
Eupen v Gent
Like with the Almere v Cambuur game I expected the game to start slowly. I decided to back the under goals market.
It was far from a slow start with a goal after 4 minutes, so I had to take an exit in the worst-case scenario as I was yet to remove any liability.
This can happen, and I'm prepared for it.
I’m glad I took the loss and not “gambled on staying in longer” as a second goal was scored two minutes later in the 6th minute. Gent then took the lead, making it 1-2 after 12 minutes.
A disappointing day of trading.
After a miserable day of trading yesterday, I was feeling refreshed and ready to go again.
Union Berlin v Leverkusen
Leverkusen went into the match as the away favourites. The under goals market was also showing some value, so I decided to place an order from the start and aim to exit midway through the first half.
Not a great start. I managed to remove some liability from the trade before Union Berlin scored in the 7th minute. A losing trade, but plenty more matches to go.
Southend v Coventry
I attempted to trade the under goals market, but the price had only moved around seven ticks in 7 minutes, so it was too “sticky” for my liking. Therefore I exited the trade.
Benevento v Pordenone
Benevento is running away with the Serie B title. When I saw they were leading “just” 1-0 at half-time, I looked further into the in-play stats to find an angle. I felt there was another goal in the match.
Pordenone are fighting to stay in contention for the playoffs, so they were likely to try and score. I opened a position in the over goals market.
Only one of my orders was matched before the second goal arrived, so I decided to remove the liability and try and generate a little more value than if I cashed out straight away. The worse case is it’ll be a scratch trade.
Pordenone scored in the 90th minute, making it 2-1 and therefore a winning trade.
Derby v Huddersfield
Derby’s form at home has been good of late, so with the score still level at 0-0, I decided to enter the over goals market.
My first order was matched in the 55th minute. Moments later Derby took the lead. Only a small win as just the one order was matched.
Middlesbrough v Luton
Luton’s away form has been awful of late as they struggle to survive in the Championship. When I saw they were leading 0-1 in the second half, I expected there would be another goal, most likely coming from the Middlesbrough.
Time was against me. With no further goals, the price hit my stop loss and so sticking to my rules; I left the market and took the loss.
Santa Clara v Tondela
With the score level at half-time, I decided to place a few orders in the over goals market.
As time moved closer towards the final stages of the match, I was starting to think this was going to be a losing trade.
With all of my orders matched, Santa Clara scored and took a 1-0 lead. I was pleased (or was it a sigh of relief) when I saw this goal go in. A winning trade and with 100% of my orders matched.
Sparta Prague v Liberec
1. Liga (Czech Rep)
I opened a few orders in the over goals market, expecting at least a goal in the second half.
Like in the Santa Clara v Tondela game, time was running away from me, so I was pleased when a late goal was scored. With all my orders matched in the over goals market, this was a welcome sight.
Liberec went on to win the match 0-2
Norwich v Liverpool
This was not a match I expected to be trading, but when I saw the score was still 0-0 in the 66th minute I “had to” find an angle to get involved. Reviewing the various trading methods I keep, I decided to lay the under goals market and cash out if and when there was a goal.
Mane scored in the 77th minute for Liverpool, and as a result, this was a winning trade.
Overall I had a decent day of trading, and it made up for the hopeless day yesterday.
Storm Dennis has arrived, so I kept an eye on possible postponements in the UK.
Beroe v Etar
Beroe was looking for a win to move into the play-off positions. When I recognised the score was 0-0 midway through the second half, I looked at the recent form before entering a trade.
Recently neither side has finished 0-0 in the league, so I opened a position to lay the under goals market but set myself a stop loss if the price moved too far away from me. I prefer to do this, so I try to get a decent risk v reward ratio.
The price hit my stop-loss, so I had to stay disciplined and exit for a loss.
Typically, minutes later, Beroe scored. They then scored a second in injury time winning 2-0. It makes me feel like I've been robbed, but this is trading, and at least I stuck to my rules to exit when I planned too. Oh well!
Alanyaspor v Genclerbirligi
Turkish Super Lig
This was a lively game in the second half, so I entered the market laying the under goals market.
Not long after my order was matched the underdog, Genclerbirligi, scored making it 0-1. This was good enough for me to win the trade.
This win helps the pain of that earlier loss in Bulgaria.
Aberdeen v Celtic
An interesting one for me. The score was 1-1. Celtic are playing away, but without a shot on target in the second half after 70 minutes. Yet, I still felt like there could be another goal in the match. It’s Celtic after all!
I decided to lay the under goals market expecting there to be another goal.
There it was. Celtic made it 1-2 in the 82nd minute. A winning trade.
Frosinone v Perugia
Frosinone, playing well and sit near the top of Serie B were being held by Perugia. It was 0-0 in the 60th minute, and the price on offer in the under goals market was appealing. Lower than I usually see, so I decided to lay the under goals market.
Frosinone scored to make it 1-0 in the 65th minute and a winning trade.
Aston Villa v Tottenham
This match was played live on Sky Sports. It was a lively game, and even at 2-2, it looked like there could be another goal. I don’t usually trade matches with a 2-2 score, as I tend to feel the game has "dried up" of goals, but it felt different, and I didn’t want to miss this opportunity.
Due to the current scoreline, I entered with a smaller stake than usual, laying the under goals market.
Gooaaall! Son scores for Tottenham in the 94th minute to win the match 2-3 and completed a weekend of trading with a (small) winning trade. Well, what a “Son”day it's been.
I started the weekend with £876.24
P&L this weekend +£30.32
The sports trading balance is now £906.56
I’ve broken the £900 milestone. Next up is £1,000!!
After a miserable day of trading on Friday, I’m happy with the outcome. Looking back at my trades, it appears my second half trading did well.
Here’s how my mid-week trading went.
In parallel to my football trading I'm learning to improve my tennis trading. I’m not ready or prepared to use this main sports trading bank for tennis trading (yet).
FCSB v Clinceli
Romania Liga 1
Pre-match analysis swayed me to back the under goals market in this match. Although FCSB were favourites to win, I felt the odds in the under goals market offered some value and expected the game to start slowly.
I entered the market at kick-off, removing some liability along the way before exiting with a profit mid-way through the first half.
Emmen v FC Twente
I entered the market, opening a position in the under goals market.
It was pretty much a scratch trade as I exited after ten minutes. The price was hardly decreasing, and I wasn’t prepared to stick around. A small green return, but it could also be seen as a scratch trade.
Crewe v Crawley
Like with the earlier Emmen v FC Twente game, the market didn’t move as I expected and so I came out earlier than I would have liked.
Swansea v QPR
I expected a slow start to this game, so once again I backed the under goals market from kick-off.
I removed some liability around 10 minutes into the game in case of an early goal. I removed all liability and cashed out just before 30 minutes. This was a winning trade.
The score stayed 0-0 at half-time so in hindsight I could have stayed in the market for longer, but I was staying with my trading plan, so I’m pleased with that.
The match finished 0-0.
Celtic v Hearts
Celtic made it 2-0 at the start of the second half, so I decided to scalp the under goals market, expecting Celtic “to be happy with a two-goal lead and protect it.”
I managed to lay off a little of the liability before Celtic made it 3-0 in the 51st minute. As a result, this was a losing trade.
Celtic made It 4-0 after 68 minutes, and then 5-0 after 80 minutes, so I profiled this incorrectly.
Inter v Napoli
I noticed while scanning the list of in-play matches the score was still 0-0.
I decided to open a position in the market and lay the draw.
Napoli scores moments later making it 0-1. As Napoli was the away team, the odds didn’t move in my favour as much as I would like to see so instead I removed the liability, making it a risk-free trade. If Napoli goes onto win, its a profit, if Inter draw level and it ends in a draw, then no win, but more importantly, no loss.
The match ended 0-1 to Napoli so a winning trade.
AC Milan v Juventus
Two heavyweights from Italy face each other in the cup. I felt the defences should be tough to break down, so I decided to back the under goals market from kick-off.
I removed my liability throughout the first half and finally exiting after 30 minutes for a profit.
Antwerp v Genk
With the score level at 1-1 during the second half, I was expecting Antwerp to score the winner. I decided to lay the draw.
Well, it wasn't to be. Eleven attempts and six shots on target between the sides in the second half but the match finished 1-1 and therefore a losing trade.
I started the week with £872.64 in the bank
P&L for the week was +£3.60
The balance is now £876.24
Not a fantastic return from my mid-week trades, but I would prefer to return a small profit or break-even compared to a loss. So I’ll take it.
It’s Valentine's day on Friday! I wonder if I’ll be able to do any trading??
After a week-long, self-imposed winter mid-season break from trading, I’m back in front of the trading station.
During my week off, I read a book, “Think And Grow Rich” by Napolean Hill. Well worth the read. I also spent some time researching and learning about tennis trading. I didn’t place any trades, as that’s the point of having a week off.
I’m feeling refreshed and ready to go
Stuttgart v Aue
Stuttgart was winning 2-0 at half-time with a comfortable lead at home, and without reason to rush for a third goal, I expected the second half to start slow. I, therefore, backed the under goals market for a quick scalp.
After 7 minutes into the second half, the game was uneventful.
I partially exited the trade with a lay bet to reduce my liability in case of an early goal and then fully exited in the 59th minute with the score still 2-0.
The match finished 3-0. Stuttgart scored their third in the 90th minute.
Fiorentina v Atalanta
Pre-match stats show that this might be a slow scoring game, at least in the first half. I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off and then, by following my trading plan, exit later in the first half.
After 13 minutes just the one attempt at goal. Neither side has had a shot on target, so I left my full risk in the market.
Eighteen minutes passed, and Atalanta had a couple of shots on target, so I layed off some of the risks in case of a goal. I still kept the rest of my order in the market for a little longer.
I exited for a profit after 29 minutes. Just in time as three minutes later, Fiorentina took the lead.
Atalanta turned the match around and won 1-2.
Schalke v Paderborn
Stats were showing that this game might start slow in the first half, so I backed the under goals market from kick-off.
Eleven minutes in and not much is happening. The one-shot from the away side so I left my full risk in the market and waited a little longer to lay off some of this risk.
I cashed out for a profit after 32 minutes with the score 0-0.
Freiburg v Hoffenheim
This match was taking place at the same time as the Schalke match, so I had to manage both trades at the same time. I entered the market using the same method, backing the under goals market.
Ten minutes in and the market price wasn’t moving. It’s what I call ”sticky”. When this happens, it’s best to cash out and leave this trade alone. The price touched a few ticks in my favour so a minimal “green” return.
Marseille v Toulouse
I entered the market from kick-off, backing the under goals market.
Like in the Freiburg game the market wasn’t moving as much as I would have liked so exited the trader soon than I wanted. A small profit, though.
Overall it was a decent start to February.
Started the weekend with £854.34
Balance is now £872.64
"Trading sports online is to back (in favour) a team or individual and then lay (oppose) at a lower price (odds) for a profit before the sporting event finishes. Alternatively lay (oppose) a sports team or individual and then back at a higher price (odds) for a profit." - SportsTraydor.