Here’s how my mid-week of trading the football went for me.
In parallel to my football trading, I'm still learning and getting used to trading the tennis. I’m not in a position to introduce it to my trading bank, though.
Gil Vicente v Benfica
With Benfica 0-1 in the lead, I expected them to extend their lead or that the home side would get back into it. I layed the under goals market.
It wasn’t to be, and the match finished 0-1. Therefore a losing trade.
Sunderland v Fleetwood Town
Sunderland was the pre-match favourites playing at home. When I saw that Fleetwood was leading 0-1, I decided to lay the under goals market in the second half.
The price moved towards my stop-loss, and I had to exit for a loss so it was a losing trade.
Fulham v Swansea
With the score 0-0, I layed the under goals market midway through the second half expecting at least one goal.
My predetermined stop loss was hit, so I exited the trade for a loss.
Sheff Wed v Charlton
Like in the Fulham v Charlton match, I layed the under goals market in the second half. The goal never arrived before the price hit my stop loss.
I couldn't believe it when I saw this after I exited my trades.
Unbelievable. After tonight, I have to look at entering later in the match and stay in until the end. I'm on a poor run of form this week.
[Craig is sulking!]
Celtic v FC Copenhagen
With Celtic losing 0-1 at home I decided to lay Copenhagen in the latter part of the match.
I was pleased to see Celtic score the equalizer in the 82nd minute so I could cash out for profit. Yes! A winning trade bringing my losing streak to an end.
I’m glad I cashed out when I did as FC Copenhagen scored two quick goals to make it 1-3.
Sevilla v CFR Cluj
This match was 0-0 deep into the second half so, I opposed the current score.
Cluj scored in the 88th minute. Another win!!
Wait….hold on…..No! It’s been disallowed!
There was then a late red card and time ran out for me, and the match finished 0-0. There I thought I had won the trade with a late winner. Unfortunately for me, it wasn’t to be.
Overall it's been a disappointing midweek of trading. I need to (and I will) get over it.
I started the week with £945.47
P&L for the week -£35.34
The balance is now £910.13
It was not a great week of trading.
We’re now heading into the last weekend of February. I haven’t looked, but I don’t believe I'm on course to meet my target of 10-15% ROI this month.
I had a week off at the start of February, so who knows, maybe that would have been a profitable week and help me earn my target amount this month.
Let’s see what the weekend brings.
Not many trades placed mid-week so I've combined a full weeks worth of trades in this post.
JS Kabylie v Paradou
Ligue 1 (Algeria)
Kabylie was playing well at home and are positioned towards the top of the table.
At half-time, the score was still 0-0. Due to the lack of knowledge, I have in this league; I went with a minimal stake to lay the under goals market in the second half.
Paradou scored in the 69th minute, but it was ruled out.
The price then went on to hit my pre-determined stop-loss, so I exited the trade for a loss. The match went on to finish 0-0.
Belouizdad v Hussein Dey
Ligue 1 (Algeria)
Belouizdad was sitting at the top of the table, hosting Hussein Dey who is in a relegation battle. At half time the score was 0-0.
I decided to open a lay position in the under goals market but noting down a price to exit if the price moves against me.
This worked out. The home side scored a goal in the 73rd minute so this was a win that made up for the earlier loss in Algeria.
A break-even day. Won 1, Lost 1.
No trades placed since Monday. I was prepared to trade, but either the schedule of matches never met my criteria or I couldn't find an angle or value in-play, to open a position.
Brescia v Napoli
I entered two trades from the start. First I backed over 1.5 FHG and then placed an order later in the first half backing over 0.5 FHG.
Brescia scored in the 27th minute. The Over 0.5 FHG order had only just been matched and was an instant win, and then I removed the liability in the over 1.5 FHG trade.
The half ended 1-0 so one trade was a winner. The over 1.5 FHG was a scratch trade.
Guingamp v Sochaux
Guingamp, favourites at home, was losing 0-1 at Half time so I layed the under goals market.
The equalising goal arrived in the 62nd minute and was a winning trade.
Clermont v Paris FC
The score was 0-0 at HT. Clermont were clear favourites, and I believed they would score in the second half. Rather than back them, I placed an order to lay the under goals market.
Surprisingly Paris FC went ahead 0-1 in the 78th minute. This was precisely the reason why I decided to trade the goals market and not the home favourite. This worked out and was a winning trade.
After a quiet midweek of trading, Friday turned out to be a satisfying day.
No trading during the afternoon as I had family commitments, but I was back at SportsTraydor HQ ready to trade some matches later in the day.
Leicester v Man City
With the score still 0-0 midway through the second half, I placed two orders in the over goals market. The worst-case scenario is if the game ends 0-0 I lose my 1 point stake.
Jesus gave Man City the lead in the 80th minute, and the match ended 0-1, so this was ended being a scratch trade.
Strasbourg v Amiens
Strasbourg, a definite favourite at home were being held 0-0 in the second half. I expected them to score and win the game so I layed the under goals market.
Well, it wasn’t to be. The price hit my pre-determined stop-loss, and I exited the trade for a loss. The match finished 0-0.
Groningen v VVV Venlo
There’s usually plenty of goals in Dutch football, so when I saw this game was 0-0 during the second half, I opened up an order to lay the under goals market.
I entered later in the match, with lower odds, so I could keep this trade open through to the final whistle. Thankfully for me, the goal arrived in the 87th minute and therefore was a winning trade.
Levante v Real Madrid
Wow, what can I say? I won this trade, laying the under goals market late in the second half.
I was confident Real Madrid would score the winner, but to my surprise, Levante scored the winner. I wasn’t expecting that, but it was a goal I needed, and therefore I finished Saturday with a winning trade.
Just the one trade today.
Heracles v Ajax
With the score still 0-0 late in the second half I was confident there would be a goal. My lay order on the under goals market was matched later than usual as the market was expecting a goal and the price reflected this.
One minute after my lay order was matched, Heracles took a surprising lead. This was enough for me to win the trade. Heracles went on to win the game.
I started the week with £906.56
P&L for this week +£38.91
The balance is now £945.47.
Although I didn't place many trades this past week, the results were pleasing, and I returned a profit.
A somewhat up and down weekend, as shown below. Or maybe it should read “down then up” weekend.
Adelaide United v Central Coast
I had this match shortlisted for an over 2.5 goals selection, but I never triggered the trade. When I saw it was still 0-0 in the 70th minute, I decided to open a position.
There was value in the over 0.5 goals market, so I placed an order that was matched shortly afterwards.
Adelaide scored in the 82nd minute, making it 1-0. This was enough for me to win. They then scored again in the 84th minute, making it 2-0, and that’s how the match finished.
St.Pauli v Dresden
It was 0-0 in the second half, so I decided to lay the draw. In hindsight, it was a silly trade as I was working on gut instinct and not the stats. I know I shouldn't, and as a result, it was a losing trade with the match ending 0-0.
Almere v Cambuur
I expected the game to start slow, so I backed the under goals market from the start and then removed my liability throughout the first half before exiting with a profit.
Eupen v Gent
Like with the Almere v Cambuur game I expected the game to start slowly. I decided to back the under goals market.
It was far from a slow start with a goal after 4 minutes, so I had to take an exit in the worst-case scenario as I was yet to remove any liability.
This can happen, and I'm prepared for it.
I’m glad I took the loss and not “gambled on staying in longer” as a second goal was scored two minutes later in the 6th minute. Gent then took the lead, making it 1-2 after 12 minutes.
A disappointing day of trading.
After a miserable day of trading yesterday, I was feeling refreshed and ready to go again.
Union Berlin v Leverkusen
Leverkusen went into the match as the away favourites. The under goals market was also showing some value, so I decided to place an order from the start and aim to exit midway through the first half.
Not a great start. I managed to remove some liability from the trade before Union Berlin scored in the 7th minute. A losing trade, but plenty more matches to go.
Southend v Coventry
I attempted to trade the under goals market, but the price had only moved around seven ticks in 7 minutes, so it was too “sticky” for my liking. Therefore I exited the trade.
Benevento v Pordenone
Benevento is running away with the Serie B title. When I saw they were leading “just” 1-0 at half-time, I looked further into the in-play stats to find an angle. I felt there was another goal in the match.
Pordenone are fighting to stay in contention for the playoffs, so they were likely to try and score. I opened a position in the over goals market.
Only one of my orders was matched before the second goal arrived, so I decided to remove the liability and try and generate a little more value than if I cashed out straight away. The worse case is it’ll be a scratch trade.
Pordenone scored in the 90th minute, making it 2-1 and therefore a winning trade.
Derby v Huddersfield
Derby’s form at home has been good of late, so with the score still level at 0-0, I decided to enter the over goals market.
My first order was matched in the 55th minute. Moments later Derby took the lead. Only a small win as just the one order was matched.
Middlesbrough v Luton
Luton’s away form has been awful of late as they struggle to survive in the Championship. When I saw they were leading 0-1 in the second half, I expected there would be another goal, most likely coming from the Middlesbrough.
Time was against me. With no further goals, the price hit my stop loss and so sticking to my rules; I left the market and took the loss.
Santa Clara v Tondela
With the score level at half-time, I decided to place a few orders in the over goals market.
As time moved closer towards the final stages of the match, I was starting to think this was going to be a losing trade.
With all of my orders matched, Santa Clara scored and took a 1-0 lead. I was pleased (or was it a sigh of relief) when I saw this goal go in. A winning trade and with 100% of my orders matched.
Sparta Prague v Liberec
1. Liga (Czech Rep)
I opened a few orders in the over goals market, expecting at least a goal in the second half.
Like in the Santa Clara v Tondela game, time was running away from me, so I was pleased when a late goal was scored. With all my orders matched in the over goals market, this was a welcome sight.
Liberec went on to win the match 0-2
Norwich v Liverpool
This was not a match I expected to be trading, but when I saw the score was still 0-0 in the 66th minute I “had to” find an angle to get involved. Reviewing the various trading methods I keep, I decided to lay the under goals market and cash out if and when there was a goal.
Mane scored in the 77th minute for Liverpool, and as a result, this was a winning trade.
Overall I had a decent day of trading, and it made up for the hopeless day yesterday.
Storm Dennis has arrived, so I kept an eye on possible postponements in the UK.
Beroe v Etar
Beroe was looking for a win to move into the play-off positions. When I recognised the score was 0-0 midway through the second half, I looked at the recent form before entering a trade.
Recently neither side has finished 0-0 in the league, so I opened a position to lay the under goals market but set myself a stop loss if the price moved too far away from me. I prefer to do this, so I try to get a decent risk v reward ratio.
The price hit my stop-loss, so I had to stay disciplined and exit for a loss.
Typically, minutes later, Beroe scored. They then scored a second in injury time winning 2-0. It makes me feel like I've been robbed, but this is trading, and at least I stuck to my rules to exit when I planned too. Oh well!
Alanyaspor v Genclerbirligi
Turkish Super Lig
This was a lively game in the second half, so I entered the market laying the under goals market.
Not long after my order was matched the underdog, Genclerbirligi, scored making it 0-1. This was good enough for me to win the trade.
This win helps the pain of that earlier loss in Bulgaria.
Aberdeen v Celtic
An interesting one for me. The score was 1-1. Celtic are playing away, but without a shot on target in the second half after 70 minutes. Yet, I still felt like there could be another goal in the match. It’s Celtic after all!
I decided to lay the under goals market expecting there to be another goal.
There it was. Celtic made it 1-2 in the 82nd minute. A winning trade.
Frosinone v Perugia
Frosinone, playing well and sit near the top of Serie B were being held by Perugia. It was 0-0 in the 60th minute, and the price on offer in the under goals market was appealing. Lower than I usually see, so I decided to lay the under goals market.
Frosinone scored to make it 1-0 in the 65th minute and a winning trade.
Aston Villa v Tottenham
This match was played live on Sky Sports. It was a lively game, and even at 2-2, it looked like there could be another goal. I don’t usually trade matches with a 2-2 score, as I tend to feel the game has "dried up" of goals, but it felt different, and I didn’t want to miss this opportunity.
Due to the current scoreline, I entered with a smaller stake than usual, laying the under goals market.
Gooaaall! Son scores for Tottenham in the 94th minute to win the match 2-3 and completed a weekend of trading with a (small) winning trade. Well, what a “Son”day it's been.
I started the weekend with £876.24
P&L this weekend +£30.32
The sports trading balance is now £906.56
I’ve broken the £900 milestone. Next up is £1,000!!
After a miserable day of trading on Friday, I’m happy with the outcome. Looking back at my trades, it appears my second half trading did well.
Here’s how my mid-week trading went.
In parallel to my football trading I'm learning to improve my tennis trading. I’m not ready or prepared to use this main sports trading bank for tennis trading (yet).
FCSB v Clinceli
Romania Liga 1
Pre-match analysis swayed me to back the under goals market in this match. Although FCSB were favourites to win, I felt the odds in the under goals market offered some value and expected the game to start slowly.
I entered the market at kick-off, removing some liability along the way before exiting with a profit mid-way through the first half.
Emmen v FC Twente
I entered the market, opening a position in the under goals market.
It was pretty much a scratch trade as I exited after ten minutes. The price was hardly decreasing, and I wasn’t prepared to stick around. A small green return, but it could also be seen as a scratch trade.
Crewe v Crawley
Like with the earlier Emmen v FC Twente game, the market didn’t move as I expected and so I came out earlier than I would have liked.
Swansea v QPR
I expected a slow start to this game, so once again I backed the under goals market from kick-off.
I removed some liability around 10 minutes into the game in case of an early goal. I removed all liability and cashed out just before 30 minutes. This was a winning trade.
The score stayed 0-0 at half-time so in hindsight I could have stayed in the market for longer, but I was staying with my trading plan, so I’m pleased with that.
The match finished 0-0.
Celtic v Hearts
Celtic made it 2-0 at the start of the second half, so I decided to scalp the under goals market, expecting Celtic “to be happy with a two-goal lead and protect it.”
I managed to lay off a little of the liability before Celtic made it 3-0 in the 51st minute. As a result, this was a losing trade.
Celtic made It 4-0 after 68 minutes, and then 5-0 after 80 minutes, so I profiled this incorrectly.
Inter v Napoli
I noticed while scanning the list of in-play matches the score was still 0-0.
I decided to open a position in the market and lay the draw.
Napoli scores moments later making it 0-1. As Napoli was the away team, the odds didn’t move in my favour as much as I would like to see so instead I removed the liability, making it a risk-free trade. If Napoli goes onto win, its a profit, if Inter draw level and it ends in a draw, then no win, but more importantly, no loss.
The match ended 0-1 to Napoli so a winning trade.
AC Milan v Juventus
Two heavyweights from Italy face each other in the cup. I felt the defences should be tough to break down, so I decided to back the under goals market from kick-off.
I removed my liability throughout the first half and finally exiting after 30 minutes for a profit.
Antwerp v Genk
With the score level at 1-1 during the second half, I was expecting Antwerp to score the winner. I decided to lay the draw.
Well, it wasn't to be. Eleven attempts and six shots on target between the sides in the second half but the match finished 1-1 and therefore a losing trade.
I started the week with £872.64 in the bank
P&L for the week was +£3.60
The balance is now £876.24
Not a fantastic return from my mid-week trades, but I would prefer to return a small profit or break-even compared to a loss. So I’ll take it.
It’s Valentine's day on Friday! I wonder if I’ll be able to do any trading??
After a week-long, self-imposed winter mid-season break from trading, I’m back in front of the trading station.
During my week off, I read a book, “Think And Grow Rich” by Napolean Hill. Well worth the read. I also spent some time researching and learning about tennis trading. I didn’t place any trades, as that’s the point of having a week off.
I’m feeling refreshed and ready to go
Stuttgart v Aue
Stuttgart was winning 2-0 at half-time with a comfortable lead at home, and without reason to rush for a third goal, I expected the second half to start slow. I, therefore, backed the under goals market for a quick scalp.
After 7 minutes into the second half, the game was uneventful.
I partially exited the trade with a lay bet to reduce my liability in case of an early goal and then fully exited in the 59th minute with the score still 2-0.
The match finished 3-0. Stuttgart scored their third in the 90th minute.
Fiorentina v Atalanta
Pre-match stats show that this might be a slow scoring game, at least in the first half. I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off and then, by following my trading plan, exit later in the first half.
After 13 minutes just the one attempt at goal. Neither side has had a shot on target, so I left my full risk in the market.
Eighteen minutes passed, and Atalanta had a couple of shots on target, so I layed off some of the risks in case of a goal. I still kept the rest of my order in the market for a little longer.
I exited for a profit after 29 minutes. Just in time as three minutes later, Fiorentina took the lead.
Atalanta turned the match around and won 1-2.
Schalke v Paderborn
Stats were showing that this game might start slow in the first half, so I backed the under goals market from kick-off.
Eleven minutes in and not much is happening. The one-shot from the away side so I left my full risk in the market and waited a little longer to lay off some of this risk.
I cashed out for a profit after 32 minutes with the score 0-0.
Freiburg v Hoffenheim
This match was taking place at the same time as the Schalke match, so I had to manage both trades at the same time. I entered the market using the same method, backing the under goals market.
Ten minutes in and the market price wasn’t moving. It’s what I call ”sticky”. When this happens, it’s best to cash out and leave this trade alone. The price touched a few ticks in my favour so a minimal “green” return.
Marseille v Toulouse
I entered the market from kick-off, backing the under goals market.
Like in the Freiburg game the market wasn’t moving as much as I would have liked so exited the trader soon than I wanted. A small profit, though.
Overall it was a decent start to February.
Started the weekend with £854.34
Balance is now £872.64
It was the last week of trading in January, so I was determined to finish on a high.
Bournemouth v Arsenal
I was scalping from the start of the match. If I feel the game is heating up or there’s a dangerous free-kick near the area I was planning on exiting the markets.
There was an early goal after 4 minutes that caught me out, so I continued to scalp the market before exiting with a small loss. I was pleased with my methods because I didn’t panic after the early goal and reacted calmly.
Once the game started getting lively, I knew I should exit altogether and not be greedy to make up the rest of the remaining loss.
Arsenal won the match 1-2 and progress to the next round.
Regensburg v Hannover
Both sides have scored on average less than one goal a game in the first half. Noticing this stat, I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off and trade out as the price decreases over time. If there’s an early goal, then I’ll manage the trade by following my trading plan.
It was still 0-0 after 25 minutes when I decided to cash out for a win.
The final score was 1-0 to Regensburg.
Luton v Derby
Like with the game in Germany, I decided to back the under goals market again and trade out if the match is 0-0 after some time.
The markets were sticky and only moved a few ticks in the first ten minutes, so I decided to remove the liability from the trade.
It worked out to be a scratch trade as the final score was Luton 3-2 Derby, so the matched finished over the 2.5 goals.
Porto v Gil Vicente
I decided to do some first half scalping and made a small profit.
Stuttgart v Heidenheim
An early kick-off. I forgot about it until I checked my shortlist of matches to trade and realised.
Stuttgart were clear favourites, but neither side has scored that many in the first half this season. The stats say that Stuttgart scores around 0.5 goals (on average) in the first half when playing at home.
I decided to back the under goals market from kick-off.
I exited the trade for a profit after 25 minutes, not getting too greedy, in case of a goal. I’m glad I did as Stuttgart scored not long afterwards in the 32nd minute. A good start to the day.
Kiel v SV Darmstadt
This was another trade backing the under goals market from kick-off.
I was moments away from cashing out, and the "suspended" notice appeared on the Betfair exchange when a goal went in. Even though there was a goal, I earned a small profit as I had built up enough from drip-feeding some orders back into the market to remove my liability.
St Johnstone v Celtic
Scottish Premier League
Celtic was winning 0-3 at half-time, so I felt they might sit back and not press for a fourth goal, so I decided to back the under goals market for a quick scalp.
I was in and out of the market in ten minutes and earned a profit.
Three winning trades this evening.
Hamburg v Nurnberg
Hamburg, when playing at home, have only scored or conceded in the first half 37% of the time. With a statistic like this, I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off.
After the first goal went in, I decided to exit with a small loss and not to risk more of a loss if either team score another goal.
I’m glad I did as Hamburg made it 2-0 not long after. The game was a lot more attacking than I anticipated. I’m happy to have got away with a small loss in this trade. It feels like a small win.
Hamburg was leading 2-0 at half time, so I went back in and scalped the goals market at the start of the second half. That didn’t work out so well either when there was a goal after 51 mins that caught me out.
Nice v Lyon
Coupe de France
Another match I entered, trading the under goals market in the first half.
I exited the trade early, with a small profit, as the markets were not moving and I could see someone (or a group of people) lumping on £10,000 into the market to hold the price from progressing further. When I see that happening in the markets I give it a moment to see if it’s someone trying to fool the market, but it was left there for some time, so I decided to exit early and leave it alone.
Lyon scored in the 15th minute, so I entered the market again for a quick scalp after the market overreacted to the goal. I was in the market for no more than 4 minutes.
The final day of the month has arrived. Whether you agree with it or not, Brexit is at 11 pm today, and finally, it’s a transfer deadline day in the UK. I must admit I’m not a fan of how Sky promote this day, dressing up in yellow and all that craziness to mark this occasion. It’s over the top for me.
Eindhoven v Graafshap
I felt this was a match I expected to start slowly, so I backed the under goals market.
I exited out of the trade for a profit after 20 minutes.
Excelsior v NEC Breda
Another match I expected to start slowly and another profitable trade before a goal went in around the 30th minute.
I started the week with £832.55
The balance is now £854.34
I've now updated the monthly report which is here. I don't like to calculate the total amount until the last day of the month but I'm somewhat pleasantly surprised with this months returns.
I’m now going to take a week off from trading the football. It's been my intention to have a week away, regardless of the outcome of my earnings in January. I believe having time away is healthy so I can recharge the batteries. I’m calling it my mid-season break!
I’ll be back trading, placing those back and lay orders in the markets next Saturday the 8th of February.
"Trading sports online is to back (in favour) a team or individual and then lay (oppose) at a lower price (odds) for a profit before the sporting event finishes. Alternatively lay (oppose) a sports team or individual and then back at a higher price (odds) for a profit." - SportsTraydor.