It was the last week of trading in January, so I was determined to finish on a high.
Bournemouth v Arsenal
I was scalping from the start of the match. If I feel the game is heating up or there’s a dangerous free-kick near the area I was planning on exiting the markets.
There was an early goal after 4 minutes that caught me out, so I continued to scalp the market before exiting with a small loss. I was pleased with my methods because I didn’t panic after the early goal and reacted calmly.
Once the game started getting lively, I knew I should exit altogether and not be greedy to make up the rest of the remaining loss.
Arsenal won the match 1-2 and progress to the next round.
Regensburg v Hannover
Both sides have scored on average less than one goal a game in the first half. Noticing this stat, I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off and trade out as the price decreases over time. If there’s an early goal, then I’ll manage the trade by following my trading plan.
It was still 0-0 after 25 minutes when I decided to cash out for a win.
The final score was 1-0 to Regensburg.
Luton v Derby
Like with the game in Germany, I decided to back the under goals market again and trade out if the match is 0-0 after some time.
The markets were sticky and only moved a few ticks in the first ten minutes, so I decided to remove the liability from the trade.
It worked out to be a scratch trade as the final score was Luton 3-2 Derby, so the matched finished over the 2.5 goals.
Porto v Gil Vicente
I decided to do some first half scalping and made a small profit.
Stuttgart v Heidenheim
An early kick-off. I forgot about it until I checked my shortlist of matches to trade and realised.
Stuttgart were clear favourites, but neither side has scored that many in the first half this season. The stats say that Stuttgart scores around 0.5 goals (on average) in the first half when playing at home.
I decided to back the under goals market from kick-off.
I exited the trade for a profit after 25 minutes, not getting too greedy, in case of a goal. I’m glad I did as Stuttgart scored not long afterwards in the 32nd minute. A good start to the day.
Kiel v SV Darmstadt
This was another trade backing the under goals market from kick-off.
I was moments away from cashing out, and the "suspended" notice appeared on the Betfair exchange when a goal went in. Even though there was a goal, I earned a small profit as I had built up enough from drip-feeding some orders back into the market to remove my liability.
St Johnstone v Celtic
Scottish Premier League
Celtic was winning 0-3 at half-time, so I felt they might sit back and not press for a fourth goal, so I decided to back the under goals market for a quick scalp.
I was in and out of the market in ten minutes and earned a profit.
Three winning trades this evening.
Hamburg v Nurnberg
Hamburg, when playing at home, have only scored or conceded in the first half 37% of the time. With a statistic like this, I decided to back the under goals market from the kick-off.
After the first goal went in, I decided to exit with a small loss and not to risk more of a loss if either team score another goal.
I’m glad I did as Hamburg made it 2-0 not long after. The game was a lot more attacking than I anticipated. I’m happy to have got away with a small loss in this trade. It feels like a small win.
Hamburg was leading 2-0 at half time, so I went back in and scalped the goals market at the start of the second half. That didn’t work out so well either when there was a goal after 51 mins that caught me out.
Nice v Lyon
Coupe de France
Another match I entered, trading the under goals market in the first half.
I exited the trade early, with a small profit, as the markets were not moving and I could see someone (or a group of people) lumping on £10,000 into the market to hold the price from progressing further. When I see that happening in the markets I give it a moment to see if it’s someone trying to fool the market, but it was left there for some time, so I decided to exit early and leave it alone.
Lyon scored in the 15th minute, so I entered the market again for a quick scalp after the market overreacted to the goal. I was in the market for no more than 4 minutes.
The final day of the month has arrived. Whether you agree with it or not, Brexit is at 11 pm today, and finally, it’s a transfer deadline day in the UK. I must admit I’m not a fan of how Sky promote this day, dressing up in yellow and all that craziness to mark this occasion. It’s over the top for me.
Eindhoven v Graafshap
I felt this was a match I expected to start slowly, so I backed the under goals market.
I exited out of the trade for a profit after 20 minutes.
Excelsior v NEC Breda
Another match I expected to start slowly and another profitable trade before a goal went in around the 30th minute.
I started the week with £832.55
The balance is now £854.34
I've now updated the monthly report which is here. I don't like to calculate the total amount until the last day of the month but I'm somewhat pleasantly surprised with this months returns.
I’m now going to take a week off from trading the football. It's been my intention to have a week away, regardless of the outcome of my earnings in January. I believe having time away is healthy so I can recharge the batteries. I’m calling it my mid-season break!
I’ll be back trading, placing those back and lay orders in the markets next Saturday the 8th of February.
"Trading sports online is to back (in favour) a team or individual and then lay (oppose) at a lower price (odds) for a profit before the sporting event finishes. Alternatively lay (oppose) a sports team or individual and then back at a higher price (odds) for a profit." - SportsTraydor.