Trading the football during an International week can be slow. Roll on next week, I say! I did manage to find some trades, but as it wasn't club football, I decided to use smaller stakes.
AFC Wimbledon v Brighton U-21
Alert! Alert! I went against my trading style for this one.
I was accompanying a friend to a non-league football match, under the lights (albeit a dim, not so bright set of floodlights) on a September evening.
At half time, in between ordering a pint and a packet of salt n vinegar crisps, I was browsing Twitter and checking the Flashscore app. One match stood out. I saw that League 1 side, AFC Wimbledon, playing at home, were level at half-time versus Brighton's Under 21's in the EFL cup. With this, I placed my pint to one side, opened up the Betfair mobile App and decided to lay the "under 0.5 goals". Wait, what was that Craig? Yeah, I know, I traded a fixture using my mobile phone! It wasn't the first time I've done this. I remember one Friday night doing the same thing.
I want to add, I was aware of this risk, and used a minimal stake. Merely in case, I lost 4G connection or if I was engrossed in the Tony Pulis style of football being played in front of me and miss my stop-loss price.
I didn't take a screenshot of this trade, but the goal arrived early in the second half, so albeit a little risky, this was a small win.
Armenia v Italy
Euro 2020 Qualifier
I'm not sure if I like trading international games, so I used smaller stakes.
I entered this trade because Italy, who sit unbeaten at the top of Group J, was level at half-time, 1-1. As well as the score being level, Armenia had a player sent off just before the break.
I opened a trade, placing a Lay on the "Under 2.5 goals". I anticipated Italy would score a goal and go onto win the game against the ten men of Armenia.
As it turned out, there were no further goals before the price had decreased and hit my stop-loss price. Sticking to my rules, I exited the trade for a loss.
Typically Italy scored three minutes later. They went on to win 1-3 away to Armenia. It's so annoying when this happens, but I'm pleased I've stuck to the rules in my trading plan.
Israel v North Macedonia
Euro 2020 Qualifier
The second trade of the day and the final midweek trade was a match between Israel and North Macedonia. I felt confident about this trade.
Studying the stats, I saw that Israel had the majority of possession, 60%. They were also the market's pre-match favourites so expected to win. Finally, glancing at their home form, it's been pretty impressive over the last five home games.
Surprisingly the score was 0-0 at half time. You might ask, why don't I back Israel if all the form and stats are in their favour? My reason is that this is the wonderful game of football!! An underdog can score or steal a win in any game. So when trading the "under" x.5 goal market, while I'm expecting the likes of Israel to score and win, but I'm covering myself should there be a surprise and the underdogs, North Macedonia score. Either way, a goal is a winning trade for me, rather than backing a team to perform.
As it This trade turned out to be successful as Israel scored a goal approaching the 55th minute. The earnings from this trade covered the earlier Armenia v Italy loss plus a little more.
North Macedonia made it 1-1 late in the second have and that's how the game finished. This is why I explained I was trading the goals market and not the match odds market.
I placed just the three trades since Monday. One of them was a risky trade using my mobile phone. I've had a (small) profitable week though! I wonder how you all like to trade football during the international break?
Balance carried over from the weekend: £334.18
Mid-week P&L +£13.75
Balance: £347.93 (+33.8% ROI of the starting balance)
I'm pleased with the gains so far!
"Trading sports online is to back (in favour) a team or individual and then lay (oppose) at a lower price (odds) for a profit before the sporting event finishes. Alternatively lay (oppose) a sports team or individual and then back at a higher price (odds) for a profit." - SportsTraydor.